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Finance Review

Autor:   •  March 3, 2018  •  2,030 Words (9 Pages)  •  525 Views

Page 1 of 9

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• EAY = (1+r )2 –1 = (1+YTM /2 )2 –1 = 12.44%

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Link between week 2 and week 8

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Same concepts, but once from perspective of borrower (week 2) and once from perspective of lender (week 8)

- APR corresponds to YTM (calculated as IRR)

- EAY corresponds to EAR

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Realized Return vs. YTM

- Suppose that you buy a bond.

- Will the return on your investment be equal to the YTM ?

- Realized return = YTM if and only if :

- you hold the bond until maturity, and

- you can re-invest the coupons at a rate equal to YTM

- In most cases it will be different because :

- you must re-invest the coupons at a different rate, or

- you sell the bond before maturity at a price that corresponds to a different yield-to-maturity. (Market yields can change.)

- Lesson: Bonds are risky!

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YTM of ZCB

3.5[pic 22]

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Markets: Current Yield Curve

11/6/2015

3[pic 23]

2.5

2

1.5

1

0.5

0

1 Mo 3 Mo 6 Mo 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 5 Yr 7 Yr 10 Yr 20 Yr 30 Yr

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Engineering Forward Rates

- A bank has 2 ways of bringing money from today to 2 years from now.

- Case 1: Buying 2-year zero coupon bond

- Case 2: Buying a 1-year zero coupon bond, and re-investing at the forward rate

- yt(n) = YTM for a zero coupon bond with n-period maturity

- Bank has to be indifferent between the two ways (no arbitrage)

Case 1:

Case 2:

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Invest in 2-year ZCB

[pic 24]

t=0 t=1 t=2[pic 25]

[pic 26]

Invest in 1-year ZCB Invest 1-year at forward rate

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Case 1:

Case 2:

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Invest in 2-year ZCB

[pic 27]

t=0 t=1 t=2[pic 28]

[pic 29]

Invest in 1-year ZCB Invest 1-year at forward rate

(1+[pic 30]

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y (2))2

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= (1+

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yt (1))(1+

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ft (1))

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Forward rate = interest rate that would need to prevail in second year to make the long- and short-term investments equally attractive.

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Forward Rates

f (n) =

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(1+

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yt (n +1))

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n+1

−1[pic 31]

t (1+ y (n))n[pic 32]

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The forward rate is determined by no-arbitrage.

- NB: To calculate the 20 year forward rate, you need information on the 21-year zero coupon bond, and the 20-year zero coupon bond.

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Shape of Yield Curve

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